Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?

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Current Probability

15.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 16.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 12:22 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $85,760
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 15.5% · Sep 19, 12:15 PM

14% 26% 38% Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 15.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

15.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM 15.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 35.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$523.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$85.8K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

35

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 53
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 88
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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