Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
Current Probability
22.5%
24h Change
-18.0 pp
Signal Score
75/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 18.0pp; volume is 53.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 18.0pp
- 24h volume is 53.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($3,124)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
22.5%
24h Change
-18.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM | 22.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 50.0% |
| 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 34.0% |
| 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 34.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 33.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 33.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 35.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 36.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 40.5% |
| 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 40.5% |
| 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 40.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-11.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$87.7K
Volume vs Baseline
53.9x baseline
Liquidity
$3.1K
Market Significance
High (71)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 19, 2026
Attention Score
83
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 75/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 60
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 100
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 77
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 78
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (84)