Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-19?

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Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

55/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 350.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 350.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $44,297

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

31% 34% 35% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 31.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

71 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 31.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$124.3K

Volume vs Baseline

350.5x baseline

Liquidity

$44.3K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

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