Will CF América win on 2026-09-19?

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Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-32.0 pp

Signal Score

99/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 32.0pp; volume is 129.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 32.0pp
  • 24h volume is 129.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $51,785

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 4.5% · Sep 20, 04:30 AM

1% 22% 43% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Current 4.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-32.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 4.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 17.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-32.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$311.4K

Volume vs Baseline

129.5x baseline

Liquidity

$51.8K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 99/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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