Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?

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Current Probability

73.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 2.0pp; volume is 18.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 10:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 2.0pp
  • 24h volume is 18.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $784,540

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 73.5% · Sep 20, 10:45 AM

73% 76% 76% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 73.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

73.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

159 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:45 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 75.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 75.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$348.4K

Volume vs Baseline

18.5x baseline

Liquidity

$784.5K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

71

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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