Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Current Probability
73.5%
24h Change
-2.0 pp
Signal Score
45/100
Data Confidence
High (81)
24h probability fell 2.0pp; volume is 18.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 2.0pp
- 24h volume is 18.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $784,540
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
73.5%
24h Change
-2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 74.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 73.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 74.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 74.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 75.5% |
| 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 75.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$348.4K
Volume vs Baseline
18.5x baseline
Liquidity
$784.5K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Attention Score
71
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 7
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 100
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 95
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (81)