Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?

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Current Probability

49.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 236.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 15:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 2.0pp
24h volume is 236.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $86,048

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

49.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

166 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$431.9K

Volume vs Baseline

236.6x baseline

Liquidity

$86.0K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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