PR Prediction Radar

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

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Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability fell 3.0pp; volume is 292.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 10:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 3.0pp
  • 24h volume is 292.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $376,623

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Sep 20, 10:45 AM

47% 50% 51% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 47.5% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:45 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$254.2K

Volume vs Baseline

292.9x baseline

Liquidity

$376.6K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

72

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 60
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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