NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 29.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 29.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $252,117

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Sep 20, 04:30 AM

47% 50% 49% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Current 47.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

61 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$90.2K

Volume vs Baseline

29.2x baseline

Liquidity

$252.1K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.