Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

71.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 25.0pp; volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 10:53 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 25.0pp
24h volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $84,343

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

71.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

15 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	71.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	71.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	71.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	59.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$81.2K

Volume vs Baseline

1.7x baseline

Liquidity

$84.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 83

Volume Activity 32

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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