Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 100 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

96.5%

24h Change

+82.0 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 82.0pp

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-09 14:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $27,165
  • Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

96.5%

24h Change

+82.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+16.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$125.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$27.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 100 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 52
Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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