Georgia vs. Arkansas

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

98.0%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability rose 2.5pp; volume is 991.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 2.5pp
  • 24h volume is 991.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $17,642

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 98.0% · Sep 19, 05:00 PM

95% 98% 99% Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 98.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

98.0%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

142 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 98.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 95.9%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 95.8%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 95.7%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 95.6%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 95.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 95.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 95.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 95.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 95.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 95.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$372.4K

Volume vs Baseline

991.4x baseline

Liquidity

$17.6K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 8
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 92
Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.