Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-7.9 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability fell 7.9pp; volume is 7.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 7.9pp
24h volume is 7.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $69,424

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-7.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

97 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	2.8%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	2.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	2.2%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.4%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.8%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM	1.8%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.3%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	3.6%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	2.9%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.8%
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM	1.7%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.4%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	3.4%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	7.8%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	6.6%
9/17/2026, 11:15:00 AM	6.8%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	6.7%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	8.6%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	7.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$210.1K

Volume vs Baseline

7.7x baseline

Liquidity

$69.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 26

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 58

Data Confidence High (85)

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