Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-49.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 49.5pp; volume is 17.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 49.5pp
24h volume is 17.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $35,539

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-49.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

119 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	80.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	91.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	85.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	87.0%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	84.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	92.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	86.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	80.5%
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	69.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	72.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	73.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	74.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	72.0%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	68.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	68.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	68.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	60.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$393.7K

Volume vs Baseline

17.6x baseline

Liquidity

$35.5K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

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