Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+57.5 pp

Signal Score

89/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability rose 57.5pp; volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 57.5pp
24h volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $11,949

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+57.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

108 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	98.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	20.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	8.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	14.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	11.5%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	13.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	13.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	21.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	22.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	21.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	27.0%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	27.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	31.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	26.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	29.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	39.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$225.0K

Volume vs Baseline

11.2x baseline

Liquidity

$11.9K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 89/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 42

Data Confidence High (82)

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