Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.2 pp
Signal Score
41/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability fell 0.2pp; volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.2pp
- 24h volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $31,578
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 1 point ). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
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0.1%
24h Change
-0.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$75.6K
Volume vs Baseline
6.7x baseline
Liquidity
$31.6K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Attention Score
67
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.