Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

91.5%

24h Change

+48.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability rose 48.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $292,839
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 91.5% · Sep 15, 04:00 AM

39% 68% 96% Sep 14 Sep 14 Sep 14 Sep 15 Current 91.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

91.5%

24h Change

+48.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

51 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 91.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 68.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 49.0%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM 43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+23.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$650.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$292.8K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

50

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 69
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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