Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.6%

24h Change

+9.1 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 9.1pp; volume is 722.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 9.1pp
  • 24h volume is 722.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $162,498

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.6% · Sep 15, 04:30 PM

85% 92% 100% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 99.6% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.6%

24h Change

+9.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

41 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM 99.6%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 97.2%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 95.3%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 86.0%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 89.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 88.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 88.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 88.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 90.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 90.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 90.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 90.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 90.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 89.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 88.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 88.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 89.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 89.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 89.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+4.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$297.0K

Volume vs Baseline

722.5x baseline

Liquidity

$162.5K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

78

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 30
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 68
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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