Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-22?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+9.5 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 9.5pp; volume is 165.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 21:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 9.5pp
  • 24h volume is 165.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $135,327

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 22, 09:00 PM

74% 87% 100% Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+9.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

132 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 76.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 93.0%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 93.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 93.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 93.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 92.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 92.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 92.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 93.0%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 93.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 92.0%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 92.0%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 91.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 92.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 90.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM 91.0%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM 90.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+23.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$103.3K

Volume vs Baseline

165.5x baseline

Liquidity

$135.3K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

77

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 32
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 64
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.