Spread: SF (-12.5)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

51/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 0.5pp; volume is 25.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 18:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.5pp
24h volume is 25.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $209,148

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

172 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$380.8K

Volume vs Baseline

25.6x baseline

Liquidity

$209.1K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 51/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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