Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+21.5 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 21.5pp; volume is 448.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 21.5pp
24h volume is 448.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $153,250

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+21.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM	98.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM	94.0%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM	81.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM	79.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM	79.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM	79.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	78.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$175.3K

Volume vs Baseline

448.6x baseline

Liquidity

$153.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 72

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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