SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-38.9 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability fell 38.9pp

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-10 19:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $14,416
  • Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (1d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-38.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

1d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$83.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$14.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 10, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 41
Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.