Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

37.5%

24h Change

-9.0 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 9.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $216,753
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 37.5% · Sep 16, 12:00 AM

10% 30% 50% Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 16 Current 37.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

37.5%

24h Change

-9.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

48 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 13.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+24.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$295.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$216.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

28

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 30
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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