Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

62.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability fell 2.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $125,129
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 62.5% · Sep 16, 12:00 AM

61% 69% 76% Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 16 Current 62.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

62.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

45 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 66.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 66.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 66.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 66.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-12.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$249.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$125.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 50
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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