New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

78.5%

24h Change

+16.0 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 16.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $73,175
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 78.5% · Sep 16, 12:00 AM

60% 70% 80% Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 16 Current 78.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

78.5%

24h Change

+16.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 78.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 62.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$167.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$73.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

34

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 53
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 96
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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