Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $489,323

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 40.5% · Sep 16, 12:00 AM

39% 42% 41% Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 16 Current 40.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

40.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

40 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$200.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$489.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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