Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?

Open · Resolves in 11 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 4.0pp; volume is 11.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 07:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 4.0pp
  • 24h volume is 11.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $203,473

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 19, 07:00 AM

96% 98% 100% Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 19 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

132 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 07:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.9%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.9%
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$318.9K

Volume vs Baseline

11.3x baseline

Liquidity

$203.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 11 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

73

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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