Spread: LSU (-2.5)

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Current Probability

60.5%

24h Change

+5.0 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 5.0pp; volume is 112.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 5.0pp
  • 24h volume is 112.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Low liquidity ($2,848)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 60.5% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

51% 56% 61% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 60.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

60.5%

24h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 60.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 54.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+9.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$335.6K

Volume vs Baseline

112.8x baseline

Liquidity

$2.8K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

72

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 17
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 73
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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