Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

18.5%

24h Change

-25.0 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 25.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 18:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $149,288
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 18.5% · Sep 16, 06:00 PM

16% 31% 46% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 18.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

18.5%

24h Change

-25.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

72 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 06:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-22.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$411.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$149.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

44

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 83
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 93
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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