Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

45.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 18:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $530,321
  • Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 45.5% · Sep 16, 06:00 PM

44% 47% 47% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 45.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

45.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

53 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 06:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$165.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$530.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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