Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

52.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $63,764
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 52.5% · Sep 16, 10:45 PM

52% 55% 56% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 52.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

52.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

75 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM 52.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$360.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$63.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 60
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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