Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $589,065
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

47.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

65 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$213.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$589.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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