Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $671,251
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Sep 16, 10:45 PM

48% 51% 51% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 50.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

63 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$198.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$671.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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