Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

82.5%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability rose 38.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 04:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $50,372
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 82.5% · Sep 17, 04:15 AM

25% 56% 88% Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 17 Current 82.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

82.5%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

83 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/17/2026, 4:15:00 AM 82.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 78.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 70.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+12.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$401.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$50.4K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 59
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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