Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.7%

24h Change

+10.4 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability rose 10.4pp; volume is 233.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 10.4pp
  • 24h volume is 233.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $136,578

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.7% · Sep 17, 04:30 PM

86% 93% 100% Sep 16 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Current 99.7% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.7%

24h Change

+10.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

80 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM 99.7%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 90.3%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 98.6%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 86.8%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 89.1%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 89.0%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 89.4%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 89.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM 89.2%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 89.1%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 89.3%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 88.9%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM 88.9%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 88.9%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 88.9%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 88.9%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 89.3%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 89.3%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 89.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$187.6K

Volume vs Baseline

233.5x baseline

Liquidity

$136.6K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

79

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 35
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 46
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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