Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?
Current Probability
80.0%
24h Change
+5.5 pp
Signal Score
22/100
Data Confidence
Medium (68)
24h probability rose 5.5pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Low liquidity ($4,484)
- Medium data confidence (68)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (5d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
80.0%
24h Change
+5.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
5d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$84.4K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$4.5K
Market Significance
Moderate (65)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 19, 2026
Attention Score
21
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.