Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?

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Current Probability

2.1%

24h Change

-12.4 pp

Signal Score

39/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 12.4pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 11:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $51,107
High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

2.1%

24h Change

-12.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

22 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/17/2026, 11:15:00 AM	2.1%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	2.8%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	3.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/17/2026, 4:15:00 AM	6.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	8.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	9.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	9.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM	5.5%
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM	5.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	10.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	10.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	6.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	10.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM	11.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$143.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$51.1K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.

Probability Momentum 41

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 47

Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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