Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
Current Probability
67.8%
24h Change
+19.4 pp
Signal Score
42/100
Data Confidence
Medium (67)
24h probability rose 19.4pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Low liquidity ($1,600)
- Medium data confidence (67)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (4d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
67.8%
24h Change
+19.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
4d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-20.9 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$93.5K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$1.6K
Market Significance
Moderate (62)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Attention Score
34
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.