Spread: Bills (-5.5)

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Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability rose 1.0pp; volume is 375.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 00:00 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 1.0pp
24h volume is 375.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $2,338,700

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

96 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$296.8K

Volume vs Baseline

375.5x baseline

Liquidity

$2.3M

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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