Spread: Panthers (-2.5)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

51.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 444.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 22 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 15:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 444.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $836,536

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 51.5% · Sep 20, 03:45 PM

50% 53% 53% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 51.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

51.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

168 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 03:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$464.7K

Volume vs Baseline

444.9x baseline

Liquidity

$836.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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