Spread: LSU (-3.5)

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Current Probability

52.0%

24h Change

+6.5 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 6.5pp; volume is 43.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 6.5pp
  • 24h volume is 43.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Low liquidity ($1,457)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 52.0% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

43% 48% 53% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 52.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

52.0%

24h Change

+6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

139 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 52.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$215.3K

Volume vs Baseline

43.8x baseline

Liquidity

$1.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

72

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 22
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 79
Persistence 86
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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