Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
Current Probability
13.5%
24h Change
-8.0 pp
Signal Score
28/100
Data Confidence
Medium (70)
24h probability fell 8.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $27,242
- Medium data confidence (70)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (4d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
13.5%
24h Change
-8.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
4d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$86.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$27.2K
Market Significance
High (70)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Attention Score
25
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.