Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+14.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 14.5pp; volume is 352.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 00:00 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 14.5pp
  • 24h volume is 352.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $85,244

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 18, 12:00 AM

82% 91% 100% Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 18 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+14.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

90 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 97.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 84.0%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 86.0%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 86.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 86.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 86.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 85.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 85.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$216.9K

Volume vs Baseline

352.6x baseline

Liquidity

$85.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

83

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 48
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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