San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+38.1 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability rose 38.1pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 21:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $133,666
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Sep 17, 09:00 PM

56% 78% 100% Sep 16 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Current 99.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+38.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

94 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 95.3%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 64.3%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 64.3%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 64.4%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 61.2%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 61.1%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 61.1%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 61.1%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 61.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 61.0%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.8%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.7%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.7%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 60.7%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.7%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.4%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.3%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM 60.3%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 60.3%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 60.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+4.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$305.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$133.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 47
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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