Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

28.4%

24h Change

-14.7 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 14.7pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 00:00 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $86,683
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

28.4%

24h Change

-14.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

93 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	28.4%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM	28.8%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	42.1%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.9%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	41.9%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.1%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.3%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.9%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.8%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.9%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.9%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.1%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.3%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	43.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	43.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-13.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$249.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$86.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 49

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 95

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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