Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

54.0%

24h Change

+9.5 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 9.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 00:00 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $58,855
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

54.0%

24h Change

+9.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

95 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	54.0%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+7.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$261.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$58.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 32

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 87

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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