Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-59.0 pp

Signal Score

96/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability fell 59.0pp; volume is 385.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 12:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 59.0pp
  • 24h volume is 385.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $133,404

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 21, 12:15 PM

0% 32% 65% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 21 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-59.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

86 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 12:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/21/2026, 12:15:00 PM 0.1%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.0%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 58.0%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 58.0%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-45.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$76.2K

Volume vs Baseline

385.3x baseline

Liquidity

$133.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 96/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 86
Data Confidence High (87)

Next Steps

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