Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-3.1 pp

Signal Score

51/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability fell 3.1pp; volume is 18.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 3.1pp
24h volume is 18.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $39,785

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-3.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	18.2%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	10.3%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	2.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	2.1%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	3.0%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	3.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	2.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	2.9%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	2.6%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.7%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.7%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	2.0%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	2.1%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.4%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.2%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.7%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.3%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-18.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$136.6K

Volume vs Baseline

18.7x baseline

Liquidity

$39.8K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 51/100.

Probability Momentum 11

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 50

Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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