Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+83.5 pp

Signal Score

90/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 83.5pp; volume is 28.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 83.5pp
24h volume is 28.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $130,990

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+83.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	97.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.2%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	54.4%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	68.0%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	71.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.8%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	65.9%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	39.4%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	30.3%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	28.4%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.6%
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	22.7%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	25.6%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	13.6%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	7.6%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	5.7%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	8.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$189.8K

Volume vs Baseline

28.1x baseline

Liquidity

$131.0K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 90/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 40

Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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