Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.6 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability fell 0.6pp; volume is 33.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.6pp
  • 24h volume is 33.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $127,750

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 18, 04:00 PM

0% 3% 5% Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

115 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 3.8%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 4.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM 1.4%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.4%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.9%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.4%
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.2%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.2%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.2%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM 0.2%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.2%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.2%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.4%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$302.5K

Volume vs Baseline

33.1x baseline

Liquidity

$127.8K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 50
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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