Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-10.4 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 10.4pp; volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 19:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 10.4pp
24h volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $88,035

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-10.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

98 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.8%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	2.4%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	2.6%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	2.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM	2.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM	2.1%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM	2.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM	2.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM	2.6%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM	2.4%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM	3.3%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM	2.9%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	4.3%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	2.4%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	3.6%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	3.7%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	6.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	8.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$88.2K

Volume vs Baseline

6.7x baseline

Liquidity

$88.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 35

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

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